摘要:
									基于2014-2021年44家全国性商业银行在2090个县域设立和退出分支机构的66万个样本观测值,研究发现数字金融的发展对银行机构产生了动态性的影响。一方面,数字金融激发了小微企业的潜在金融需求,提升了银行新设机构的可能性,另一方面,数字金融对传统金融服务产生了一定的替代性,促使部分银行机构退出市场。在替换关键变量、调整样本结构、使用不同工具变量处理内生性等一系列检验后,结果保持稳健。异质性分析发现,在金融服务薄弱地区,数字金融能够"雪中送炭",提升银行在新地区首次设立机构的可能性,帮助银行下沉机构,而在金融服务较完善的地区,数字金融能够"去冗存精",促使冗余网点退出,总体上提升了银行机构区域分布的均衡性。进一步,基于对数字金融影响的动态分解,研究发现分支机构调整有助于银行实现盈利目标,国有与股份制银行倾向于优化布局,而外资银行倾向于退出止损,此发现也能部分解释近年来外资银行机构存量下降更快的事实。研究结论有助于从微观层面理解全国银行网点布局的动态变化。
								
								 
							
								
										Abstract:
										Using the unique dataset of nationwide commercial banks establishing and closing branches at the county level, this paper finds that the development of digital finance has a significant impact on the dynamic adjustment of banks. Digital finance raises the likelihood of bank branch establishment by stimulating the demand of small and micro enterprises for financial services in counties, and raises the likelihood of bank branch closure by substituting traditional financial services. The results are robust to the replacement of key variables, adjustments in the sample structure, and the use of different instrumental variables to address endogeneity. In areas with weak financial services, digital finance attracts the establishment of branches, while in areas with better financial services, digital finance gives rise to the closure of branches, which improves the regional distribution of financial service supply to a certain extent. Furthermore, based on the dynamic decomposition of the impact of digital finance, this paper finds that the dynamic adjustment of bank branches helps to improve the business performance of commercial banks. Specifically, state-owned and shareholding banks tend to establish new branches, while foreign banks tend to close branches.