摘要:
经济学有关通用人工智能(AGI)对企业投资经营活动影响的分析,不是解释AGI的具体技术构成及其操作过程,而是要研究AGI技术外溢对企业投资经营和政府宏观治理的作用。关于AGI技术外溢对经济活动的作用,至少要关注以下几方面内容:(1)企业运用AGI内蕴的大数据分析技术,会引发投资决策、生产经营和产品销售等什么样的变化;(2) AGI技术是如何外溢到企业的产供销活动中,企业汲取和运用AGI技术会产生什么样的图景;(3) AGI技术被广泛运用后,对市场调节机制会发生什么样的影响;(4)政府运用AGI技术进行宏观治理会有什么样的效率变化,等等。同时,经济学对AGI技术外溢的理论分析,需要围绕企业制度、主体和行为等展开,即应该偏重于企业决策、产量和价格决定、竞争和垄断、产业组织等问题。很明显,弄清楚了这些问题,将会对数字经济下微观经济基础理论有可能发生的重塑有新的理论认知。
Abstract:
The economic analysis of the impact of Artificial General Intelligence(AGI) on corporate investment and business operations shifts focus away from explicating AGI's technical specifications or operational mechanisms.Instead,it centers on examining the effects of AGI technology spillovers on corporate investment,managerial practices,and government macro-governance.Concerning the impact of AGI spillovers on economic activities,attention should be directed at least to the following dimensions:(1)How the application of big data analytics inherent in AGI will transform corporate investment decisions,production operations,and product sales;(2) The channels through which AGI technology spills over into enterprises' production,supply,and sales activities,and the emerging scenarios as firms absorb and deploy AGI;(3) The potential impacts of widespread AGI adoption on market regulation mechanisms;(4) How the efficiency of government macro-governance might evolve with the adoption of AGI technology.Furthermore,the economic analysis of AGI spillovers should be grounded in institutional frameworks,economic agents,and behavioral patterns—specifically focusing on corporate decision-making,output and price determination,competition versus monopoly dynamics,and industrial organization.Elucidating these issues will yield novel theoretical insights into the potential reshaping of microeconomic foundations within the digital economy.