静态比较优势动态化的驱动力与历史经验——兼论发展新质生产力与提升产业链供应链韧性内因
The Driving Forces and Historical Experience of Dynamization of Static Comparative Advantage
-
摘要: 中共二十届三中全会《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式现代化的决定》要求,要健全因地制宜发展新质生产力体制机制,推动产业深度转型升级,健全提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平制度。新旧动能转换之际,又遭遇全球化逆流,中国现阶段政策似乎并不符合比较优势,与中国早期优先发展重工业战略有相通之处。基于从分工体系转变和产业链上下游博弈两个路径,可以具体分析历史上中国在早期优先发展重工业对经济的长期正向影响,以及静态比较优势动态化的驱动力。进一步,通过比较欧美老牌资本主义国家和亚洲新兴工业化国家特别是中印两国贸易政策的演变对经济发展的影响,为本研究提供了历史经验证据,由此得出中国发展新质生产力与提升产业链供应链韧性的驱动力与必然性。Abstract: The Communique of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the CPC calls for improving the institutions and mechanisms for fostering new quality productive forces in line with local conditions,promoting deep industrial transformation and upgrading,and enhancing the resilience and security of industrial and supply chains.At a time of transitioning between old and new growth drivers and facing countercurrents in globalization,current policies share similarities to China’s early strategy of prioritizing heavy industry,which seems to be contradictory to the comparative advantage strategy .This paper analyzes the long-term positive impact of China’s early heavy industry development on the economy through two paths:the transformation of the division of labor system and the dynamics of upstream and downstream industrial chains.It clarifies the driving forces behind the dynamization of static comparative advantage.Furthermore,by analyzing the impact of the evolution of trade policies in Western capitalist countries and emerging industrialized nations in Asia,particularly comparing China and India,this paper provides empirical evidence for the conclusions.Finally,it discusses the driving forces and the necessity of developing new quality productive forces and enhancing the resilience of China’s industrial and supply chains.
-

计量
- 文章访问数: 839
- HTML全文浏览量: 79