现代化研究的回顾与反思——从“类型”到“分波次”
Faded Radical Politics and Plural Urban Society: Rethinking Modernization Studies
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摘要: 近年来随着中国近代史研究范式的转变,使得1980 年代以降关注整体社会变迁的比较现代化研究转入沉寂。这一变化也与早年现代化研究选择的比较对象集中于改革成功的国家和地区,从而削弱了解释的有效性有关。系统地梳理1950 年代以来现代化研究的进展,可以注意到既往笼统地考察不同类型、不同发展阶段的现代化,在划分类型的基础上进行比较研究,方法局限明显。晚近各学科在比较研究中强调国家类型、时代趋势、国际环境变迁及推行改革时机等因素的综合作用,重视在具体的历史情境中探究各国现代化成败。因此,结合“时间”与“空间”因素,通过对现代化的波次划分,结合实证研究,选择共时性和同类型的比较对象,形成更有效的机制性解释,成为当下推动现代化研究的重要方向。Abstract: With the transition of research paradigms of modern Chinese history, researches on comparative modernization with a focus on general social transition came to a silence after the 1980s boom. This transition is largely related to case-selection-bias of modernization studies in the early years. The past researches usually select successful states and regions as the comparative cases to Chinese experience, thus weakened effectiveness of explanation. With a systematic review of modernization studies from the 1950s, we can find that a mixed discussion of modernization of different types and developmental stages have obvious limitations. Comparative studies of our time usually highlights comprehensive?roles of state type, trends of the times, change of international environment, and opportunity of reforms in studying modernization. By concerning facts of both time and space, as well as identifying waves of modernization, the selection of synchronic cases of the same type would form effective and mechanical explanations, and thus promote modernization studies of the time
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