三大变化与重振中国经济应对之策的思考
作者简介:田国强,上海财经大学高等研究院特聘教授、湖北经济学院财经高等研究院教授(上海200433)
基金项目:
本文为国家自然科学基金专项项目“中国经济系统建模与仿真”(72141303)、上海高峰学科项目“中国宏观经济形势分析与预测”(2018110925)的阶段性成果
摘要: 当前中国经济形势仍未出现重大好转,其中有疫情和外部经济形势冲击的原因,但更重要的是由于近些年逐渐积累起来并造成深远影响的三大重大变化:(1)中美两国大国战略重大变化;(2)政府监管和政策变化过多、过频、过急、过激;(3)观念性因素和社会舆论导向发生偏差。正确应对这些重大变化,需要回到常识和基准,回到历史、逻辑和实践,需要关于市场经济的再次思想启蒙。无论是稳住经济社会大盘、高质量发展、共同富裕,还是实现中国式现代化,更关键的是要依靠基石性的好的营商制度环境和制度安排,而不是多变、易变、时刻改变的政府政策。市场化、国际化、法治化的改革开放以及有利于经济发展的改革举措通过制度固化下来才是提振信心、增加信任、稳定预期的关键,要充分认识以经济建设为中心和改革开放的极度重要性,充分认识社会伦理规范在市场经济中的极度重要性,以正确处理政府与市场、政府与社会的关系推动中国式现代化,实现高质量发展和共同富裕。
Comparison of Moral Philosophies between Smith and Kant
Abstract: The current economic situation in China is challenging due to the epidemic and external economic impact, but more importantly, it faces three critical changes that have gradually accumulated in recent years and exerted a profound impact: (1) major strategic changes of China and the United States; (2) excessive, frequent, hasty, and extreme government regulation and policy change; (3) deviation in conceptual factors and the orientation of public opinion. To properly respond to these major changes, we need to return to common sense and benchmarks, to history, logic and practice, and once again to the ideological enlightenment about market economy. Whether it is to stabilize the overall economic and social situation, promote high-quality development and common prosperity, or to achieve the Chinese path to modernization, it is more crucial to rely on the cornerstone of good business institutional environments and institutional arrangements, rather than changeable, volatile, and ever-changing government policies. The market-oriented, internationalized and law-based reform and opening up and its institutionalized measures conducive to economic development are the key to boosting confidence, increasing trust and stabilizing expectations. It is necessary to fully understand the critical importance of economic construction as the central task and reform and opening up, as well as the importance of social ethics in the market economy, and properly handle the relationship between government and the market and between government and society, so as to promote the Chinese path to modernization and achieve high-quality development and common prosperity.