中小民营企业成为僵尸企业之谜
The Mystery of Middle-and-Small Scaled Private Zombie Firms
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摘要: 中小民营企业是僵尸企业的主体部分,已有文献提出的僵尸企业原因难以解释这一现象,我们称之为“中小民营僵尸企业之谜”。本文从一个新的角度提出了中小民营企业成为僵尸企业的原因:传染效应。中小民营企业由于难以直接从银行获得贷款,普遍采取了相互担保的借贷方式,并且上下游企业之间在资金和业务上紧密关联。一旦某家企业发生财务危机变成了僵尸企业,关联企业不得不为僵尸企业提供信贷资金或者银行担保,这导致关联企业也容易变为僵尸企业。因此,一个地区的僵尸企业越多,就会连累更多中小民营企业成为僵尸企业。中小民营企业之间发生传染效应的三个渠道为融资、投资和用工。通过使用1998—2013 年中国工业企业数据库对此进行实证分析,证实了上述结论。本文的研究对于处置僵尸企业和推进供给侧结构性改革具有非常重要的政策含义。Abstract: From our previous research, we find that middle-and-small scaled private firms account for most of the zombie firms. We name it “the mystery of middle-and-small scaled private zombie firms”, which can hardly be explained by existing literature. This paper explains why these middle-and-small scaled private firms became zombies from a new perspective: contagion effect. Hard getting loans directly from banks, middle-and-small scaled private firms always take a mutual-guaranteed way of borrowing, with a close tie of capital and business between upstream and downstream firms. Once a firm has a financial crisis and becomes a zombie, connected firms have to provide it with credit funds or bank guarantees, which may make it more dangerous for connected firms to become zombies. Specifically, we give three channels through which contagion effects happen among middle-and-small scaled private firms: borrowing, crowding-out effect of labor and crowding-out effect of investment. We test our hypothesis using Chinese Industrial Enterprises database 1998—2013. Our research has important implications for dealing with zombie firms and promoting supply-side structural reform
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